Tuesday, April 25, 2017
Friday, April 21, 2017
Tuesday, April 18, 2017
KELINGTON GROUP BERHAD.
PE ratio currently 15 times.
Dividend yield 1.8% after the proposed dividend today.
See what the management said in the last quarter.....
During the 12 months period ended 31 December 2016, the Group had secured new orders amounting to RM323.44 million. This is the highest amount of new orders ever to be secured by the Group within a year.
Combined with the orders carried forward from the previous year, and new orders secured to-date in 2017, the Group has an orderbook on hand of RM546.99 million, of which RM206.76 million remains outstanding.
Under the current competitive business environment, the Group is focused on delivering the projects on a timely manner and is vigilant in managing costs.
Based on the Group’s orderbook level and barring unforeseen circumstances, the Group is confident that the Company will continue with the good performance in the coming year.
BENEFITS FROM “MADE IN CHINA 2025” INITIATIVE.
“Under the Made in China 2025 initiative, China aims to become a superpower in the manufacturing of high technology industries by 2025. The China government is undergoing a significant capacity expansion growth and is expected to invest heavily to increase its production
of memory chips and semiconductors.”
“According to industry reports, China aims to produce 70% of its total consumption of integrated circuits, from approximately 10% now. This augurs well for players like us as we aim to gain a share of the capex expansion activities of these technology players,” he added further.
The Group is optimistic that it will be positively impacted by the expected capacity expansion growth in the China electronics market.
Although growing, still paying RM0.01 dividend. Last year RM0.005
Expand to have recurring income.
KELINGTON SECURES FIRST INDUSTRIAL GAS SUPPLY CONTRACT.
Under the contract, Kelington will setup an onsite generator to produce nitrogen gas at the Hanwha Q CELLS’ manufacturing plant in Cyberjaya, Malaysia. In return, Hanwha Q CELLS will pay a fixed facility fee amounting to approximately RM20 million over a period of ten years.
Hanwha Q CELLS is one of the world’s largest manufacturers of solar cells and modules and uses nitrogen in its manufacturing process.
Ir. Raymond Gan, Chief Executive Officer of Kelington Group Berhad said, “Our expansion plan into a recurring long-term business is taking place as planned. This is our first industrial gas supply contract, marking our successful foray into this new area. This new business is long-term in nature and would add a stable and recurring income stream to the Group. It would enhance our earnings visibility, providing sustainable returns to our shareholders.”
See what Hong Leong said.....
KGB was a leading Ultra-High Purity (UHP) Gas and Chemical Delivery Solutions Provider in Malaysia, China, Taiwan and Singapore. KGB is an integrated engineering solutions provider specializing in ultra-high purity (UHP) gas and chemical delivery systems, mechanical process engineering, mechanical systems and electrical systems. The Group provides end-to-end engineering solutions ranging from system design to fabrication and installation of equipment to testing and maintenance.
Outstanding orderbook about RM277m.
Yesterday, KGB announced that it has secured RM24m contract to Givaudan Singapore (a leading flavour and fragrances manufacturer). Together with the RM19m contract to a China global semiconductor MNC (secured on 3 Apr) and its first industrial gas supply contract of RM20m (secured on 28 Mar) to Hanwha Q CELLS (one of the world’s largest manufacturers of solar cells and modules), KGB’s has an outstanding orderbook of ~RM277m.
Serving diversified industries.
Established since 2000, the Group serves customers in the high technology industry across different sectors such as Industrial Gases, Wafer Fabrication, Solar Energy, TFT-LCT, Bioscience and Light Emitting Diode (LED). KGB has also expanded its industry focus to include the F&B, pharmaceutical, healthcare and oil and gas sectors. In FY2016, Singapore contributed 39% to the revenue, followed by Malaysia (38%), Taiwan (10%), China 98%) and other (5%).
Potential downtrend reversal.
KGB is currently trading at 8.3x FY16 P/E (7.1x if excludes 7.9 sen netcash). The stock has retraced from 52-week high of RM0.64 (5 Apr) to a low of RM0.53 (14 Apr) before ending at RM0.565, above the 30-d SMA level (now at RM0.545). Short term rebound seems taking shape and we expect prices to bottom up amid the formation of hammer-liked candlestick.
A decisive breach above RM0.59 (10-d SMA) is likely to spur prices higher towards RM0.64 and our long term objective of RM0.70 (123.6% FR). Key supports are RM0.53-0.545. Cut loss at RM0.525.
Source: Hong Leong Investment Bank Research - 18 Apr 2017
According to a blogger excelyou, some of KGB's major customers are growing.
Net cash about RM0.079
Although price has up 100%, it has dropped 16% from RM0.63 in April to RM0.53, but now has reserved and resumed uptrend. Can refer chart analysis by Hong Leong above.
For those who are concerned on the price, KGB up from RM0.30 in January 2017 to slightly less than RM0.60 now.
If their result not good, price will be under great pressure.
The gas supply project is something new to them and may not be easy to execute.
I don't know how Hong Leong got the profit RM15.4 milion for 2016, from what I see from announcement is only RM8.7 million. Maybe they excluded certain one-off item.
If Hong Leong's figures stand, the buying interest for this stock will be high. Now hard to find a growing stock with less than PE ratio 10.
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Friday, April 14, 2017
After her experience by following tips by fomous bloggers, she found some major points.
Each individual has different behaviour so there will be different timing, cut loss, capital, risk, fear, etc. Therefore, many points are hard to discuss. Below are just some major points.
Confuse Short or Long Term.
Why people rush to buy immediately after seeing an article published by pump and dump operator?
Answer is fast money. This = short term.
When the price doesn't move up for them to make the desire profit, they hold, because the article is on long term. Oh oh. People are confused here. When people are confused, normally they lose money. If they want long term, there are plenty of long term stocks, why rush to buy this. Don't be confused. Furthermore, most of these articles just showing good points to attract people and not sure whether are good for long term.
Another point is.... Price already up one or few days earlier.
People will say don't worry if the price already up if we invest for long term and the future is more important than the past. But these people want fast money, they tend to lose out because as the name called, pump and dump, the price already pumped up, and when many people rush to buy, pump up again, and in the end the buying price is very very high. Inflated price. Pumped up price. Premium price, or whatever name. Big disadvatage here for short term people. If some say don't worry if price already up, buy for future, you see, again people are confused with fast money and long term.
Another point.... Percentage Gain.
The percentage gain make from so called tips are much lower. Imaging if we buy a long term stock, recommended by some genuine analysts or bloggers, at RM1.00, the share price continue to go up, until it reaches RM2.00, first we have plenty of time to buy around RM1.00, or RM1.05 if a bit late or too early. Then sell at RM2.10, RM1.80 or RM1.90, plenty of time if we feel that the price has exceeded the potential. Still have time to eat a pao and have some coffee to ponder whether to sell. Or even go to Australia for a week, plenty of time to think. Easily can make 20% 30% 50% 100% or more.
But if we buy based on the tips, we have to rush to buy. Sell? WE DO NOT KNOW WHEN TO SELL. If we use our normally sell decision making process, hold as long as got potential, then we are not for fast money. See you, we are confused again. If we want to sell fast to make fast money, when to sell?
Buy RM0.30, up until RM0.32, sell? RM0.34, sell? Drop back to RM0.28, sell? RM0.50, sell?
If we hold, are we trading long term? If we sell at RM0.34, more than 10% return, the stock goes up to RM0.50, we feel that the blogger is very good, next time hold longer. We always use the highest price to judge a blogger. Wow, recommeded at RM0.30, went up as high as RM0.50. But who can sell at RM0.50? Who know RM0.50 will be the highest.
Because of these difficulties, sometimes make profit, sometimes lose, people tend to invest smaller amount. Smaller amount can't really make much. Those who have made big gain, invest big again and incur big loss. Ended up nothing.
Why must we invest in smaller amount when follow tips? If sometimes gain, sometimes lose, net still having good gain, why must we invest in smaller amount? Because deep in our heart we know this kind of investment following tips are risky, end of the day we may lose.
From the experience, it seems not so easy to make fast money following tips share by bloggers.
Price already up (pumped up), volumn few days ago already up maybe someone waiting to sell , confuse whether short or long term, investment amount whether go big or small also we are not sure, not sure when to sell. % gain also low, don't know how to sell at highest because never know. We judge people by comparing the highest price with the recommended price. All these cause making money from tips very difficult.
However, if those who are making good money after many rounds of following tips, share with us how.
Those who sometimes make, sometimes lose, make 5%, lose 20%, confuse, gain from RM5k capital but lose when invested RM10k, quickly re-examine.
I know for sure some will make very hugh gain.
Recommeded stock A. Up a bit then down a bit. So some people make a bit some lose a bit.
Recommeded stock B. Up a bit then drop a lot. So some make a bit some lose a bit some lose a lot. Different people buying and selling at different price.
Recommened stock C. Up a lot. Some sold early make a bit. Some hold and make huge gain.
Out of so many people follow, some really make a lot. But only a few. Can we be so fortunate among the few?
Two Australian scientists, Robin Warren and Barry Marshall were awarded Nobel prize for physiology and medicine for their "unexpected" discovery that has saved millions of people from the pain of stomach ulcers.
Dr Barry Marshall succeeded in cultivating the bacterium, which became known as helicobacter pylori. To emphasise their point, in 1985, Dr Marshall deliberately infected himself with the helicobacter pylori bacterium to prove it caused acute gastric illness.
To show erection not just emotion, but can be physical, in 1983 Sir Giles Skey Brindley [Brindley had] injected himself with papaverine in his hotel room before coming to give the lecture, and deliberately wore loose clothes (hence the track-suit) to make it possible to exhibit the results. He stepped around the podium, and pulled his loose pants tight up around his genitalia in an attempt to demonstrate his erection.
From 2016 to 2017, Peggy went to real experiment in order to find out why majority of people keep losing money following famous bloggers.
Tuesday, April 11, 2017
Notion share price RM1.16
Recommended Buy by Kenanga (Notion VTec - Expansion at Boiling Point) with target price of RM1.58, 36% upside. Look at the words "Boiling Point". I hope analysts will not use exaggerate words loosely and hope they really mean it. In July 2015 that was how I found OCK Group - Making The Next (Big) Leap by RHB. You saw the words Big? The word Leap? Up 100% after about one year.
See what the management said.
1) The demand for Auto EBS plungers will grow 30% Year-over-Year (YoY) in 2017 and again in 2018 and a new hard anodising line has been successfully installed and 50 new auto-lathe CNCs catering for the growth are being installed over Jan to May 2017 period.
2)The new Johor rented factories in Gelang Patah was set up in late 2016 to target new businesses and with a new energetic team we expect new business from a few new customers in the fasteners and engineered products, electrical consumer goods and EMS sector.
3)The Board is optimistic of more growth and earnings in the coming quarters.
4)With all our new planned projects, I am cautiously confident that for FY2017, our Group is expected to be on a much stronger
footing and will continue to be in the positive territory.
At least got some dividend and yield is about 1%, projected to grow.
For those who are concerned about price up already, Notion share price already up 200% from Nov 2016.
But further back, it was RM3.50 in March 2010 and keep dropping 37% to RM2.20 until April 2014. Then ex for warrant and bonus became RM1.25. Now also RM1.16, not much change from 3 years ago RM1.25.
Why the price was so low then? See what RHB said in January 2017 report, they said ........... Light at the end of the tunnel. Notion VTEC (Notion) was hit by a series of unfortunate events over the last five years, ie a major flood at its Thailand facility in 2012, a fire accident in its Klang production plant in 2013, losses from non-core investments in 2014, and losses suffered from its currency-related derivatives exposure in 2015 and 2016. All these are set to come to an end as it has managed to recover due to insurance claims and clean-up of its books by writing off non-core investments, as well as settling all its derivatives exposure.
Warrant is expiring, and some people may sell Notion and buy warrant to arbitrage to make few %. This will provide some pressure to the share price.
PE Ratio is 35x, very high. Agree. Part of the reason was due to provision of differed tax earlier.
Notion may not achieve the growth as per forecast. PE ratio so high, if no growth, it may not provide support to the share price.
Look at the warrant at RM0.125, exercise price RM1.00. Date & Time of Suspension : 13/04/2017 09:00 AM. Expiry date 02/05/2017.
For those with experience, what can we do?
Those with experience who are holding Notion, may sell Notion eg RM1.15 and buy Warrant RM0.09+RM1.00 to convert. Gain(or difference) is RM0.06.
100,000 shares = RM6000 excluding brokerage cost and other small cost.
Those with experience who already wish to buy Notion, may buy warrant and convert, rather than directly buying Notion stock.
The gap was RM0.06 to RM0.08 but now the gap is getting smaller. Based on closing, the gap is only RM0.025.
Only those with experience, I repeat that, because last day of trading is 12/04/2017 and maturity is 02/05/2017. Make one mistake, 100% total loss. Please consult your remisier/dealer even for those who are have experience.
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Monday, April 10, 2017
Share Price RM2.40
Dividend yield: 1.2%
A lot of excitement are on Alibaba over the past few weeks where some counters up 20% or hitting limit up during the day. This is not a company that have potential to tie-up with Alibaba, but in fact, they had already tied-up with Alibaba in January 2017 on EduCloud. Read more on The Star Friday, 13 January 2017, Prestariang, Alibaba and Conversant form IT tie-up. The Star Thursday, 12 January 2017, Alibaba collaborates with Prestariang.
The CEO said . . . .. "EduCloud will capitalise on our existing footprint, help grow our customer base, and expand our offering to include not just licensing and training, but also online application and services," said Prestariang president and group CEO Dr Abu Hasan Ismail.
See what Public Bank analyst said..... As for the recently-announced EduCloud project, the launching is expected this year though a little more preparatory work is needed at this juncture. It is seen to be creating a lot of excitement for the group over the longer-term as cloud-based systems are still relatively new in Malaysia........
Recommended Buy by few brokers.
Public Bank with Target Price RM2.87.
CIMB Research with Target Price of RM3.00
In March 2017 AmInvestment Research has initiated coverage on Prestariang with a Buy recommendation and a fair value of RM2.60 a share.
RHB (old report) RM2.57 in November 2016. That was before the mini bull run in 2017.
Prestariang received a letter dated 15 Nov 2016 from the Government to confirm that the Cabinet has approved the implementation of its proposed National Immigration Control System (SKIN) project. According to Public Bank analyst, they are expecting big earnings jump this year. See what they said.. . .. . . .. As the National Immigration Control System (SKIN) project is expected to start sometime this year, we see new earnings being recognised during the construction period. Assuming a 10%-15% profit margin, the SKIN project could generate at least RM20m-30m per annum to the Group's bottomline upon commencement.......
As reported in The Star Wednesday, 29 March 2017, CIMB said " Potential catalysts are the signing of the contract for SKIN concession"..... " However, following the signing of the agreement with Thales as the technology partner, we believe the concession agreement would be signed with the government in April".
If I understand correctly, Prestariang will earn the construction profit during the construction period. Then 12 years to maintain and operate where they have not gotten the deal yet.
Time for Rebound?
2016 result was very bad. Public Bank analyst said . . .. . .....Nevertheless, we think the worst is over and the company should do better going forward as the SKIN project is going to start this year. We maintain our Outperform stance with an unchanged TP of RM2.87.....
Share price has been beaten down. If Prestariang manage to recover the profit, and add in additional profit from new project, the price may recover.
The price was RM3.20 in early 2016. With most stocks traded exceeding the multi-year high, Prestaring may have potential to trade higher if their profit recover.
The company said,..... The Company viewed its lower profit margin for FY2016 as a short term effect as business conditions in the reporting year were adversely impacted by the delay in several high margin businesses especially in Training and Certification........
The Group continues to maintain a minimum of 50% profit payout dividend policy. They normally pay 4 times a year. Current dividend yield is only 1.2% because of the drop in profit, but as per the forcast made by various analysts, we can expect more than 2% dividend yield for 2017 and onwards.
Price is stabilizinh and steadily on the uptrend
High PE Ratio
If one would to look at the PE ratio, he may stop reading. PE Ratio is more than 100x, that is why I didn't put in the beginning. LOL.
Based on the many forecasts, it will drop to 20x within the next few years due to strong earnings growth.
Lower Profit and Lower Margin
Past few quarters their profit dropped a lot. Not sure how they can recover.
Delay in projects.
As usual, somehow many projects will be delayed due to unforeseen circumstances. Any delay may cause the delay in profit recognition and impact of stock price.
NOTE: This is not my ususal stock sharing. It just happened I saw Alibaba and potential April signing catalyst. With the 50% dividend payout, it provides some support to share price in case something goes wrong.
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Happy Investing. Cheers.
Statement from the company......
Driving two landmark projects for the nation
Prestariang was awarded 'Sistem Kawalan & Imigresen Nasional' ("SKIN") ~ a Public Private Partnership project valued at RM3.5 billion to be implemented over 15 years through Build, Operate, Maintain and Transfer method. SKIN will be a pathway for Prestariang into servicebased platform businesses by developing competencies in emerging technologies such as big data analytics ('BDA"), Internet of Things (IoT), cloud computing and cybersecurity. At the same time, SKIN will also be a beacon to attract talents while providing a dynamic environment for students under our Talent business to gain leading-edge industry
eduCloud ~ Prestariang signed an MoU with Alibaba Cloud and Conversant Solutions Pte Ltd in January 2017 to jointly build an integrated service-based platform that will transform the digital education landscape in Malaysia. EduCloud will be a single platform to deliver all activities linked to education and related services. These cloud-based services will include campus management, teaching and learning, entertainment, digital payment, and many other services and online applications.
Saturday, April 8, 2017
Trailing 12 months (TTM)
P/E ratio: 9.54x
Dividend yield 2%
PE Ratio not too expensive.
Yipman Wow.. Excellent growth of NIKE. QoQ and EPS keep on increasing.
Does this reflect PRLEXUS coming result?
I trust the data below will prove it to you.
• Revenues up 5 percent to $8.4 billion; 7 percent growth on a currency-neutral basis*
• Diluted earnings per share up 24 percent to $0.68
• Inventories up 7 percent as of February 28, 2017
• Revenues up 6 percent to $8.2 billion; 8 percent growth on a currency neutral basis*
• Diluted earnings per share up 11 percent to $0.50 compared to prior year
• Inventories up 9 percent as of November 30, 2016 ........
PE Ratio is not very cheap, with potential warrant dilution of 31%.
Latest quarter result not so good, and may be a sign of slowing.
This year no major sport events like Olympics, World Cup or European Cup to boost their sales.
Thursday, March 30, 2017
Barring any unforeseen circumstances, the Board is optimistic on the Group’s prospects for the coming financial year.
Share Price RM1.83
TTM P/E | EY 16.03x
Dividend Yield | Payout % 4.35% | 69.75%
We came away from a recent company visit, with our POSITIVE conviction reaffirmed stemming from the group’s brighter prospect in FY17. This will be anchored by new ATE orders from Solar Cell players on top of the resilient lion’s share order from Automotive and Smart Devices segments. The group’s state-of-art engineering capability is the success factor of consistently drawing more orders further supported by the industry up-cycle. Maintain Trading Buy with a higher TP of RM1.90.
Stronger-than-expected FY16 performance with positive spill-over into FY17. The group recently announced its 4Q16 results with CNP of RM8.5m (-5% QoQ; 0% YoY), bringing FY17 CNP to RM30.9m (+44%) which topped our previous full-year earnings estimates by 10%. Positive deviations were due to better-than-expected margins on the back of better product mixes as well as favourable currency translations. To our positive surprise, a third interim DPS of 2.0 sen (ex-bonus) coupled with a special tax exempt dividend of 2.0 sen (exbonus) were declared, bringing FY16 DPS (ex-bonus) of 8.0 sen (or 12.0 sen cum-bonus) which yields 4.6% (with a DPR of 71%). Previously, we had only forecasted 10.0 sen (cum-bonus) to be declared in FY16.
Positives spill-over into FY17. From our recent meeting with management, we were delighted to gather that the 1Q17 order backlog stands strong at RM27m, which has already bucked the seasonality weaker quarter. The strong momentum will be underpinned by the delivery of new burn-in systems for the automotive sector and smart devices. On top of that, we also gather that the group is getting new orders of Automatic Test Equipment (ATE) for Solar Cell players which should see contributions from 2Q17 onwards. Although no quantum was mentioned and we believe that the contribution will be minimal at the starting phase. We see this as a positive sign of the group venturing into other segments, hence providing greater diversification.
Strong momentum from LEDs test and burn-in equipment demand from Automotive and Smart Devices. For the lion’s share revenue contributor - Automotive segment, (contributed 49% in FY16), we believe that the proliferation of DRL beyond higher class car models as well as the mandatory requirement of having DRL by the European Union in all new cars, alongside higher requirement for the efficiency for test equipment should continue to propel the demand of ELSOFT’s test equipment and burn-in systems going forward. In fact, the group is already working on a higher speed testing machine which carries higher value. Barring unforeseen circumstances, this machine will be one of the key contributors for the group’s earnings for the Automotive segment. Meanwhile for its Smart Devices segment, we believe that the orders for its new customised LED test and burn-in systems should remain strong this year in conjunction with the brand-new smartphone launching by one of the world’s leading smartphone vendors. Recall that for FY16, the group’s Smart Devices segment has grown 92% YoY to 37% in terms of revenue share in FY16, just with the introduction of new flashing features into the same generation smartphone.
Trading Buy with a higher TP of RM1.90 from RM1.64. Post meeting, we revise our FY17E CNP upwards by 15% to account for higher orders from Automotive segments and better product mixes. Our TP of RM1.90 is based on a 14.0x FY17E PER which is broadly in line with the industry average forward PER of its global peers. Coupled with our forecast net DPS of 10.0sen in FY17E (implying yield of 5.7%), our TP of RM1.90 suggests a total upside of 15% from here.
Source: Kenanga Research - 14 Mar 2017 from i3investor
Wednesday, March 22, 2017
CJ is largest shareholder of Century
There will be a change in Century Logistics' majority shareholder when founder Datuk Phua Sin Mo and shareholders Datin Lee Lay Hun, Pamela Phua Jo Lyn and Chai Mee Young entered into a conditional sale and purchase agreement with CJ to dispose of their combined 31.44% stake amounting to 120.5 million shares for RM1.45 per share.
CJ vice-president for the strategy planning division, Ahn Jaeho, said that Century Logistics would be able to leverage on CJ's strengths including its technology systems and solutions.
PULSE by Maeil Business News Korea
CJ Korea Express signs overseas delivery contract with Lazada
2016.09.20 16:35:52 | 2016.09.20 16:36:30
By Park Eun-jin
Tuesday, March 14, 2017
Wednesday, February 22, 2017
Recent years transaformations:
Exit Non-Core Business.
First Aero-engine Case in Malaysia. Don't know what is that.
Acquisition of Aero-engine Case Business. Don't know what is that.
Higher Value Equipment Integration. Don't know what is that.
Front End Semicon Equipment. Don't know what is that.
More diversified products that are 100% export.
Aerospace aerospce aerospace.
Got a lot of backlog orders. Millions? Why show Billions while later one year only can achieve RM1 billion? Very confused.
Management projected to cross RM1 billion annual revenue by March 2019
Year end March 2016 was RM620 million.
Current 3 quarters ended Dec 2016 only RM381 million.
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