Peggy Method and Dollar Cost Averaging. Bursa Malaysia KLSE KLCI. Bookmark me, add me in your blog, like my facebook and visit me often.
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Friday, December 8, 2023
Wednesday, September 9, 2020
NGGB, enjoy; don't say i didn't tell you
Many wish to buy stocks now, but afraid buying at the tail end of a bull run, suffer losses and cannot recover. Then please take a look at NGGB, excitement to start in 2021, but remember, prices sometimes move before the actual profits.
Turning oil palm FFB waste into paper, reduce cutting of trees.
12,000MT, but delayed to Q1 due to covid.
410 acres of land, more phases will be coming. As per annual report and website, they can make different types of paper.
As announced, they also developing and sell properties.
Advance phases.
Further to the announcement made on 10 October 2019, the Board of Directors of the Company wishes to announce that the Company, IHI Corporation and Nomura Holdings, Inc. (“Parties”) are still in the midst of carrying out the feasibility study on the development of a 30-megawatt Biomass Power Plant, Alkaline Recovery Plant and wastewater treatment plant for the Company’s Green Technology Park Pahang as well as the projects in Negeri Sembilan and Sarawak and also discussion on the collaboration structure including but not limited to establishment of a joint venture arrangement and terms of the definitive agreement. The Memorandum of Understanding has been extended for another one (1) year.
This announcement is dated 10 January 2020. Bursa Malaysia
Substantial shareholder was buying, as per announcement.
Wanted to gather more info to post, but saw the price started moving lately. RM0.455
Just sleep on it and wait.
Enjoy.
Tuesday, August 4, 2020
Can Still Buy Glove stocks or Sell or Hold?
Using a layman method and looking from a different angle.
Use Topglov as example.
Eventually Topglove profit will normalize, say rm0.71 per share a year, as per CIMB research report (22/07/2020) for Topglove FY Aug 2022.
Give a high PE ratio of 20x =RM14.20
Give a high PE ratio of 25x =RM17.75
Give a high PE ratio of 30x =RM21.30
Many brokers gave 25x as at end of 2019 when things were normal, assuming fair value is RM17.75
What happen to all the super profit? RM0.59 (FY Aug20) + RM1.97(FY Aug21) = RM2.56. You may get nothing if they don’t pay out as special dividend. But assuming they pay all as dividend.
Buy at Topglove price RM26 now.
Get RM2.56 special dividend
Cost RM23.44
Later the target price become RM17.75
The above is just a sample analysis using one research report. Other analysts give higher or lower figures. They may adjust the figures upward or downward based on result announcements or news or other developments.
Of course, there are many uncertainties, no vaccines or delay or more cases. Or vaccines are earlier than expected.
The above is just a different way of looking at things when the company has one of two years of super profit.
Sunday, June 7, 2020
Wednesday, June 3, 2020
Gloves Stocks Target Price
Target Price
| |||
3/6/2020
|
Supermax and Supermx
|
10.90
|
Kenanga Investment Bank
|
22/5/2020
|
Supermax and Supermx
|
AffinHwang
| |
21/5/2020
|
Supermax and Supermx
|
MIDF
| |
21/5/2020
|
Supermax and Supermx
|
BMIB
| |
2/6/2020
|
Topglove and Topglov
|
15.60
|
Kenanga Investment Bank
|
29/5/2020
|
Topglove and Topglov
|
20.00
|
Maybank
|
27/5/2020
|
Topglove and Topglov
|
14.72
|
UOBKayHian
|
20/5/2020
|
Topglove and Topglov
|
12.23
|
AmInvest
|
18/5/2020
|
Topglove and Topglov
|
12.70
|
Public Bank
|
3/6/2020
|
Kossan
|
11.20
|
Kenanga
|
28/5/2020
| Kossan |
Hong Leong HLG
| |
27/5/2020
| Kossan |
10.00
|
UOBKayHian
|
22/5/2020
| Kossan |
Public Bank
| |
22/5/2020
| Kossan |
MIDF
| |
22/5/2020
| Kossan |
10.
|
BIMB
|
22/5/2020
| Kossan |
AmInvest
| |
22/5/2020
| Kossan |
AffinHwang
| |
Careplus and Carepls
| n/a | ||
Rubberex and Ruberex
| n/a | ||
28/5/2020
|
Comfort Gloves
|
3.18
|
RHB-OSK
|
Tuesday, March 3, 2020
AirAsia Unlimited Pass- The Disadvantages and List of Countries and Destinations
Highlight some for you.
Are AirAsia Unlimited Pass promo codes applicable to all routes?
The promo code is applicable to long haul flights* with carrier code D7 (AirAsia X) & XJ (Thai AirAsia X) only. *Excluding flights to Bali, Singapore, Jeddah and Fly-thru routes. *Embargo period applies. AirAsia flight redemptions are limited and may not be available on all flights during public holidays, school breaks and weekends.
Source: AirAsia
======================
Covered Destinations
The Unlimited pass only covers AirAsia X destinations in Australia, Japan, Korea, China and India. This is only applicable for long-haul flights that are over 4 hours in duration and has the carrier code D7 (AirAsia X) and XJ (Thai AirAsia X). The pass excludes Singapore, Denpasar (Bali) and Jeddah.
Some examples of applicable destinations include Kuala Lumpur to Melbourne, Kuala Lumpur to Taipei, Kuala Lumpur to Perth, Kuala Lumpur to Haneda, Kuala Lumpur to New Delhi and Bangkok to Osaka.
Not covered Destinations
Do note that domestic and short-haul flights using the carrier code AK are not included. In summary, you can’t use this pass for flights such as Kuala Lumpur to Penang, Kuala Lumpur to Singapore, Kuala Lumpur to Kota Kinabalu, Kuala Lumpur to Hong Kong, Kuala Lumpur to Manila and Kuala Lumpur to Bangkok.
Source: soyacincau
Monday, February 24, 2020
Tuesday, January 21, 2020
ABMB Alliance Bank Malaysia Berhad
Thursday, May 4, 2017
Hold MFCB or Warrant better?
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Remember all these are info sharing only. Please consult your remisier/dealer or financial adviser before you make any decision (e.g. buy or sell or hold or decide not to do anything) in stock market.
Saturday, April 29, 2017
Please join my Telegram, don't want you to miss out!!!!!
Pokemon/ Angry Bird = Games.
Telegram = Investment = Money
https://telegram.me/bursaPeggyMethod
Why? Because I only share good news. Few stocks mentioned in my telegram during the day move up nicely, eg Sendai more than 20%, Krono 20%, Ocncash 10%, etc within few days or 1 to 2 week and some within contra period.
Of course some dropped a bit, but some also up a bit. In good market maybe 30% will drop a bit, 30% up a bit, 20% unchange, and 20% up a lot.
Why nothing will drop a lot? Because I only share good news and during good market sentiment within short period of time, these stocks probably will not suddenly drop a lot. Unless there is a small war, then almost all stocks also will drop.
If I find a good stock for long term, it normally take me few weeks to post in my blog or facebook. I use my free time to read, less time posting . I try my very best not to make mistake in figures and gather more info, so will take longer time. Sometimes I also wait for quarterly result to confirm or wait nearer to their profit confirmation.
But once I spotted, the stocks sometimes move up very fast. Ekovest warrant 100%, Dnex 50%, Jaks 50%. Example Notion, the price I posted in blog/facebook was already 25% higher, same for OCNCASH 50% higher. Oldtown was RM2.20 now RM2.68.
VS price was RM1.60 recommended by a stranger during CNY open house. He specifically mentioned warrant, now up 50% already. Every week went up slightly I also no mood to post already.
Very demotivated to post if the share price has gone up a lot after I spotted unless it has easy content (easy for me to write) and still have potential.
Off course some stock prices dropped or didn't go up before I post in FB.
Ajiya unchanged.
Rexit dropped
Spritzer unchanged
JFTech dropped.
Texchem up a bit.
Now what I'm going to do? If I found any good news, I will immediately post in Telegram. Then I will take my own sweet time to post in FB.
But be careful !!!!! Those in telegram can be short term or long term. But those that appear in my FB are those that can sleep well, no need to check the price every 5 minutes or even every week.
Remember this:
# I share only good news. Good news = good money.
#Don't mute me because I don't flood or spam you. Average one day 2 times (1 time could have 3 pictures but still 1 time because you only need to see open 1 time). Some days zero.
# I check before I share, I don't simply share. TMCLIFE announced very good result but I didn't share because PE ratio already super high 70x. Yes, during the day the stock didn't move up.
# I don't pump and dump. My older readers will know my analysis are for good sharing purpose.
# Is not how good am I. Is because all these are good news. Nothing to do with me.
# Some remisiers, pdt, ivt, ET, Mr T or whatever T may be looking for idea or info for their day trade or contra.
# Some readers of my blog or facebook may miss my post or late because facebook only show us random posts.
Join now.
https://telegram.me/bursaPeggyMethod
Friday, April 14, 2017
Why Peggy Should be nominated for mini Nobel Prize in Bursa Malaysia
After her experience by following tips by fomous bloggers, she found some major points.
Each individual has different behaviour so there will be different timing, cut loss, capital, risk, fear, etc. Therefore, many points are hard to discuss. Below are just some major points.
Confuse Short or Long Term.
Why people rush to buy immediately after seeing an article published by pump and dump operator?
Answer is fast money. This = short term.
When the price doesn't move up for them to make the desire profit, they hold, because the article is on long term. Oh oh. People are confused here. When people are confused, normally they lose money. If they want long term, there are plenty of long term stocks, why rush to buy this. Don't be confused. Furthermore, most of these articles just showing good points to attract people and not sure whether are good for long term.
Another point is.... Price already up one or few days earlier.
People will say don't worry if the price already up if we invest for long term and the future is more important than the past. But these people want fast money, they tend to lose out because as the name called, pump and dump, the price already pumped up, and when many people rush to buy, pump up again, and in the end the buying price is very very high. Inflated price. Pumped up price. Premium price, or whatever name. Big disadvatage here for short term people. If some say don't worry if price already up, buy for future, you see, again people are confused with fast money and long term.
Another point.... Percentage Gain.
The percentage gain make from so called tips are much lower. Imaging if we buy a long term stock, recommended by some genuine analysts or bloggers, at RM1.00, the share price continue to go up, until it reaches RM2.00, first we have plenty of time to buy around RM1.00, or RM1.05 if a bit late or too early. Then sell at RM2.10, RM1.80 or RM1.90, plenty of time if we feel that the price has exceeded the potential. Still have time to eat a pao and have some coffee to ponder whether to sell. Or even go to Australia for a week, plenty of time to think. Easily can make 20% 30% 50% 100% or more.
But if we buy based on the tips, we have to rush to buy. Sell? WE DO NOT KNOW WHEN TO SELL. If we use our normally sell decision making process, hold as long as got potential, then we are not for fast money. See you, we are confused again. If we want to sell fast to make fast money, when to sell?
Buy RM0.30, up until RM0.32, sell? RM0.34, sell? Drop back to RM0.28, sell? RM0.50, sell?
If we hold, are we trading long term? If we sell at RM0.34, more than 10% return, the stock goes up to RM0.50, we feel that the blogger is very good, next time hold longer. We always use the highest price to judge a blogger. Wow, recommeded at RM0.30, went up as high as RM0.50. But who can sell at RM0.50? Who know RM0.50 will be the highest.
Because of these difficulties, sometimes make profit, sometimes lose, people tend to invest smaller amount. Smaller amount can't really make much. Those who have made big gain, invest big again and incur big loss. Ended up nothing.
Why must we invest in smaller amount when follow tips? If sometimes gain, sometimes lose, net still having good gain, why must we invest in smaller amount? Because deep in our heart we know this kind of investment following tips are risky, end of the day we may lose.
From the experience, it seems not so easy to make fast money following tips share by bloggers.
Price already up (pumped up), volumn few days ago already up maybe someone waiting to sell , confuse whether short or long term, investment amount whether go big or small also we are not sure, not sure when to sell. % gain also low, don't know how to sell at highest because never know. We judge people by comparing the highest price with the recommended price. All these cause making money from tips very difficult.
However, if those who are making good money after many rounds of following tips, share with us how.
Those who sometimes make, sometimes lose, make 5%, lose 20%, confuse, gain from RM5k capital but lose when invested RM10k, quickly re-examine.
I know for sure some will make very hugh gain.
Recommeded stock A. Up a bit then down a bit. So some people make a bit some lose a bit.
Recommeded stock B. Up a bit then drop a lot. So some make a bit some lose a bit some lose a lot. Different people buying and selling at different price.
Recommened stock C. Up a lot. Some sold early make a bit. Some hold and make huge gain.
Out of so many people follow, some really make a lot. But only a few. Can we be so fortunate among the few?
======
Two Australian scientists, Robin Warren and Barry Marshall were awarded Nobel prize for physiology and medicine for their "unexpected" discovery that has saved millions of people from the pain of stomach ulcers.
Dr Barry Marshall succeeded in cultivating the bacterium, which became known as helicobacter pylori. To emphasise their point, in 1985, Dr Marshall deliberately infected himself with the helicobacter pylori bacterium to prove it caused acute gastric illness.
======
To show erection not just emotion, but can be physical, in 1983 Sir Giles Skey Brindley [Brindley had] injected himself with papaverine in his hotel room before coming to give the lecture, and deliberately wore loose clothes (hence the track-suit) to make it possible to exhibit the results. He stepped around the podium, and pulled his loose pants tight up around his genitalia in an attempt to demonstrate his erection.
======
From 2016 to 2017, Peggy went to real experiment in order to find out why majority of people keep losing money following famous bloggers.
Tuesday, March 14, 2017
Saturday, January 14, 2017
Sunday, December 25, 2016
One Morning One Night in Bursa, EG, Hang Seng Call Warrant, Biohldg, Prolexus, Superlon, Bioalpha
Saturday, December 3, 2016
Make Money From Stock Market is about FUTURE, and not just past ROI, Cash Flow, Dividend, etc
1)Too much historical FA. HFA
2)Balance Approach- Future and Valuation. BL
3)Simplified Future. SF
There is one group of people who like Historical Fundamental Analysis. Talking about net asset per share, PE ratio, dividend, cash, etc. Mostly about historical.
If a company PE ratio is super low, 4 times, a good buy. But what if the profit drop next two years? You may lose money.
Balance. These group of people talk more about future, eg icon sifu. Most of the info he shared are about future, the project, the expansion, the new orders, etc. He shared details things of future. He uses and also shares past records eg profit margin, but is for the purpose of analysing the trend, future and worth. Focus mainly on future. But he doesn't stop there, he also values the stock, whether the current price are expensive. Example no point buying a stock if the profit will grow 100% but the share price is already up 300%. That's why he also touches on PE ratio etc.
Some just said the stock is good if the profit is growing. This is too simplified. That is why you can see many stocks 3 months later announce profit up 90% but the share price hardly move within this 3 months, because the stock price already up or PE ratio already very high.
Saturday, November 12, 2016
Strong USD stocks, Top 30 stocks to buy. So many to choose from
PERSTIMA, TGUAN, ASIAFILE, TAANN, SOP, UMCCA
HEVEA, SUPERLN, PENTA, IQGROUP, ECOWORLD, RCECAP, POHUAT, JAKS, MFCB, JTIASA, FREIGHT, PRLEXUS
JOHOTIN, MBSB, OPENSYS, MMSV, SOLUTN, RGB, HOMERIZ, SENDAI, WASEONG, OCK, WCE, WILLOW
Tuesday, November 8, 2016
Sell Your Mother, Sell Your Car and Sell Your House. It Is Time To Sai Lang on MFCB-WA
Tuesday, October 25, 2016
MFCB Warrant Upside Potential table
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
MFCB-WA can up 270% or 140% in 3 years?
Divided by MFCB Warrant price RM0.60 = upside of 270% !!
MFCB have this USD500m (RM2bn) Don Sahong hydropower project which has been on track, reaching 10% completion as of Aug 2016. The deadline to complete the project is31 Dec 2019 while commercial operation is scheduled to take place in early 2020.
1-fold jump in profit RM51.8 million + RM51.8mil = RM103.6 million.
3-fold jump in profit = RM51.8 X 3 + RM51.8mil = RM207.2 million
Warrant Price now RM0.60.
= 140% upside.
The Laos hydropower project could fetch as much as RM4.43/share. Upon the full commercial operation of the hydropower plant, we forecast that the Don Sahong Hydropower could contribute as much as RM4.43/share (WACC: 7%) based on our DCF valuation. As of now, we apply a higher WACC of 10% coupled with a 30% discount for the risk exposure during the construction period, which yields a valuation of RM2.26/share. All-in, our SOP-based TP is revised upwards from RM2.29 to RM3.16.
Sunday, September 18, 2016
List of Export counters due to Strong US Dollar
I'm not saying that now is the time to buy export counters. Sharing of info only. By the way, I don't gain by sharing info, and always receive criticism. People will leave some nasty comments in my blog and facebook. Is like eating nice durian, hope others can enjoy. I'll be glad if my sharing can help others. If you think my method is wrong or need to be improved, why don't you guide me. I'm also still learning.
If you buy USD, USD up 1%, you make 1%. Some of the stocks below if USD up 1%, their profit could up 1.5% or some companies 2%. So, if you want to benefit from USD or hedge against USD, you may consider stocks that can gain at least 1% or more from 1% up of USD.
It is also better to look for companies with good prospect, high dividend yield, high target price or fair value. In case the USD does not go up, at least the stock also can go up due to higher profit or receive good dividend.
The list below are 12 months ago, but most are still valid. Do your own research. Their share prices are the latest and target prices are quite recent. The target price I roughly average it if got few brokers. If I didn't indicate any target price means unable to find.
Some are not export stocks, but are benefited from strong USD or weakening of Ringgit (example strong Yen or Euro). They may have operations in overseas.
I also list those have negative impact from weakening of Ringgit.
Once again, sharing of information only, I may have typo or the info may be outdated. Check with your finacial planner.
The target price or fair value are BEFORE the straightening of USD to near RM4.20 now (RM4.15??). If USD up, the Target Price later will also be up.
I also list down those are negatively impacted by weakening of Ringgit. Don't mix up. DO NOT MIX UP.
Top Glove RM4.69, TP RM5.50
Homeritz share price RM0.885, Target Price RM1.09
Vitrox RM3.83, TP RM3.70
Last year Maybank said 1% USD up, Vitrox bottomline up 2%.
Because some of the operations are in overseas.
GenM RM4.37, TP RM4.50
Daibochi RM2.25, TP RM2.14
Tomypak RM1.66, TP RM2.00
Thong Guan TGUAN RM4.28, TP RM4.88
MISC RM7.53, RM8.10
You see this CSCENIC, there was one quarter it said although USD is strong, their profit was not good because undercut by Europe competitors. I think Euro also dropped against the USD, not sure. So you must determine whether is USD strong, or Ringgit weak.
Ahb
Dps
Eksons
Eurosp
Facbind
Ffhb
Jaycorp
Lcheong
Pohuat
Sernkou
Sign
Syf
Tafi
Swscap
UMW
Tan Chong
Last year Kenanga said 1% fluatuation in USD, UMW's bottomline could be affected by 3%. Tan Chong is 6%.
Because many borrowings are in USD. Fuel cost also. Unless they have hedged it.
You guys know AirAsia much better than me.
Many telcos have borrowings in USD.
Because most content costs are in USD but sales are in Ringgit.
Nestle
TCM
TENAGA
SUNWAY- USD debt
IJM- USD debt
F&N
GAB GUINNESS HEIM HEINEKEN MALAYSIA BERHAD
Followers
Disclaimer
The information contained in this blog is my personal diary and has been prepared solely for myself. Without any previous reading material or discussion, by just reading my blog contents, reader may misunderstand the contents.
All the contents I am talking to myself and most contents are hypothetical or imaginary. I REPEAT !!! most contents are hypothetical or imaginary!!!!!
This blog has been compiled in good faith, with no intention to cause hurt, loss, or any trouble. No representation is (either express or implied) as to the completeness or accuracy of the information it contains.
This blog also is not an advice, recommendation or an invitation to buy or sell or invest in anything, eg shares, futures, derivatives, gold, etc. Consult your investment adviser before making any decisions.
The copyright of the material contained in my blog remains solely with me. You shall not copy, reproduce and / or distribute this information without my permission.
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